# national election study data # read in and clean the data library(foreign) brdata <- read.dta("nes5200_processed_voters_realideo.dta",convert.factors=F) brdata <- brdata[is.na(brdata$black)==FALSE&is.na(brdata$female)==FALSE&is.na(brdata$educ1)==FALSE &is.na(brdata$age)==FALSE&is.na(brdata$income)==FALSE&is.na(brdata$state)==FALSE,] kept.cases <- 1952:2000 matched.cases <- match(brdata$year, kept.cases) keep <- !is.na(matched.cases) data <- brdata[keep,] plotyear <- unique(sort(data$year)) year.new <- match(data$year,unique(data$year)) n.year <- length(unique(data$year)) income.new <-data$income-3 age.new <- (data$age-mean(data$age))/10 y <- data$rep.pres.intent data<-cbind(data, year.new, income.new, age.new, y) nes.year <- data[,"year"] age.discrete <- as.numeric (cut (data[,"age"], c(0,29.5, 44.5, 64.5, 200))) race.adj <- ifelse (data[,"race"]>=3, 1.5, data[,"race"]) data <- cbind (data, age.discrete, race.adj) female <- data[,"gender"] - 1 black <- ifelse (data[,"race"]==2, 1, 0) rvote <- ifelse (data[,"presvote"]==1, 0, ifelse(data[,"presvote"]==2, 1, NA)) region.codes <- c(3,4,4,3,4,4,1,1,5,3,3,4,4,2,2,2,2,3,3,1,1,1,2,2,3,2,4,2,4,1,1,4,1,3,2,2,3,4,1,1,3,2,3,3,4,1,3,4,1,2,4) # partyid model to illustrate secret weapon in chapter 4 regress.year <- function (yr) { this.year <- data[nes.year==yr,] lm.0 <- lm (partyid7 ~ real.ideo + race.adj + factor(age.discrete) + educ1 + gender + income, data=this.year) coefs <- summary(lm.0)$coef[,1:2] } summary <- array (NA, c(9,2,8)) for (yr in seq(1972,2000,4)){ i <- (yr-1968)/4 summary[,,i] <- regress.year(yr) } yrs <- seq(1972,2000,4) coef.names <- c("Intercept", "Ideology", "Black", "Age.30.44", "Age.45.64", "Age.65.up", "Education", "Female", "Income") postscript ("c:/books/multilevel/partyid.1.ps", horizontal=T, height=2.7, width=6) par (mfrow=c(2,5), mar=c(3,4,2,0)) for (k in 1:9){ plot (range(yrs), range(0,summary[k,1,]+.67*summary[k,2,],summary[k,1,]-.67*summary[k,2,]), type="n", xlab="year", ylab="Coefficient", main=coef.names[k], mgp=c(1.2,.2,0), cex.main=1, cex.axis=1, cex.lab=1, tcl=-.1 ) abline (0,0,lwd=.5, lty=2) points (yrs, summary[k,1,], pch=20, cex=.5) segments (yrs, summary[k,1,]-.67*summary[k,2,], yrs, summary[k,1,]+.67*summary[k,2,], lwd=.5) } dev.off()