Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science: Pretty polling plots http://www.stat.columbia.edu/~cook/movabletype/archives/2008/05/pretty_polling.html John Sides presents some data backing up the standard political science view that news blips are not so important in determining election outcomes in two-candidate races.... en-us Pretty polling plots <p>John Sides presents <a href="http://www.themonkeycage.org/2008/04/how_much_has_obama_been_hurt_b.html">some data</a> backing up <a href="http://www.stat.columbia.edu/~cook/movabletype/archives/2008/04/what_would_rose.html">the standard political science view</a> that news blips are not so important in determining election outcomes in two-candidate races.</p> http://www.stat.columbia.edu/~cook/movabletype/archives/2008/05/pretty_polling.html