Here’s Joe Bafumi’s graph predicting House vote shares from pre-election polls in midterm elections:
(See here for the big version of the graph.)
I imagine there’s something similar going on in presidential years.
Here’s Joe Bafumi’s graph predicting House vote shares from pre-election polls in midterm elections:
(See here for the big version of the graph.)
I imagine there’s something similar going on in presidential years.