Still more on seats and votes in the 2006 House elections

John Kastellec checked the election results and found the Democrats to have received 54.8% of the average district vote, not 56%, as I had posted a couple of days ago. (My mistaken calculation of 56% was based on combining two different data sources which apparently counted third-party votes differently.)

The other thing we discussed in that previous entry was the distinction between average district vote and total vote share. The Democrats won in districts with, on average, lower turnout:

turnout06.png

It turns out that the actual election outcome fit our predicted seats-votes curve:

sv06.png

Finally, John made some histograms of vote shares:

hists06.png

Lots of close races, it seems.