Paul Gronke writes,
I conducted the 100 pieces of candy demonstration and it did not work! Why?
I made one error that made it possible. Rather than using 80 pieces of small candy and 20 large, I allowed some “medium” (Halloween sized) candy bars.
But the real problem was this: one of the students was vegan and did not want to win. So she purposely chose five of the life savers in order do a “bad” job.
She ended up underestimating and getting closest … thus winning the candy!!
P.S. The candy demo is described in Section 3 of this paper (and also in my book with Deb Nolan). I met Paul at this workshop on teaching statistics to political science students. One thing I remember about this workshop is that the participants, who taught political science at small colleges, seemed to have about 4 kids each.
Very funny, Gelman. I have 22 in one section and 24 in the other.
And 6 in my class on public opinion.
As always, kudos on the book and the blog.
Paul,
No, I meant 4 children each, not 4 students per class!