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July 4, 2006
Update on the Mexican election
Jorge Bravo pointed me to this report by some statisticians (Miguel Cervera Flores, Guillermina Eslava Gomez, Ruben Hernandez Cid, Ignacio Mendez Ramirez, and Manuel Mendoza Ramirez) on the very close Mexican election. (Here's the report at its original url.)
Here are their estimated percentages for each party:
and here's the graphical version, just comparing PAN to PRD:
I can't actually figure out exactly where these estimates come from, or what exactly they are doing to get the robust, classical, and Bayesian estimates. But they should give their estimates for the difference between the two leading parties, I think, rather than separate intervals for each.
Posted by Andrew at July 4, 2006 3:50 PM
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